Transfer Noise: 8/12/2013

Good Chance

Wait and see

Skeptical

Arsenal are close to completing a move a move for Bayern midfielder Luis Gustavo. The Brazilian will cost the Gunners just £14M although both Wolfsburg and Chelsea are both interested in the Confed Cup winner.

Tottenham are preparing a double swoop for Ajax’s Christian Eriksen and Toby Alderweireld. This would be a major blow for Liverpool who seemed close sealing a deal to Christian Eriksen.

QPR have been told that Jermaine Defoe will cost £6M.

Cardiff have signed Gary Medel from Sevilla for £8M. Well done Bluebirds:

Mamadou Sakho wants to leave PSG. Both Liverpool and AC Milan are expected to make a bid for the defender.

Liverpool also wants Derby midfielder Will Hughes. The youngster will cost the Anfield side £7M.

Crystal Palace will be bringing in Arsenal striker Marouane Chamakh on a year long contract.

Another newly promoted team is after a failed Arsenal striker. Hull City want Niklas Bendtner as Steve Bruce hopes to reunite with the striker he had at Sunderland. 

Arsenal and Manchester United are keeping tabs on 18-year-old Jeroen Lumu. It’s unknown how the Willem II forward would cost.

Manchester United are close to finally completing a £21.6M move for Argentina and Benfica defender Ezequiel Garay.

Manchester United have also, reportedly, made an offer for Gareth Bale. They’re ready to part with £70M and Nani for the Welsh wizard.

And Arsenal have made a £33M bid for Wayne Rooney.

Talk of collusion has spread throughout the internet. The American owners at United and Liverpool have agreed not to sell their striker to their rivals. In American sports this would be a big NO-NO.

West Brom are close to completing a deal for Matej Vydra of Udinese. The Baggies have been monitoring the forward for the duration of the summer.

Liverpool are monitoring Granada left-back Guilherme Siqueira. The 27-year-old will cost £6M.

Barcelona have had a bid for Daniel Agger rejected by Liverpool.

Transfer Noise: 8/10/2013

Good Chance

Wait and See

Skeptical

 

West Ham are close to completing a deal for Liverpool winger Stewart Downing. Discussions between the clubs have been ongoing for weeks and a fee of £6M seems to have been agreed on by both parties.

 

Arsenal have targeted Geoffrey Kondogbia as a possible solution for the holding midfielder shortage at the Emirates. The Sevilla man has a £8.5M release clause in his contract and given his young age, seems a perfect Arsenal buy.

 

It looks like British “journalists” are running out of fresh rumors to circulate as, once again, Luka Modric has been linked to Manchester United. Caughtoffside.com claim that Manchester United have bid £25M for the Croatian. Unlikely.

 

Wayne Rooney has informed Arsenal that he has his heart set on joining Chelsea and has request the red London club pull out of the race for his services.

 

In their pursuit of defensive reinforcement, Barcelona have made a £23M bid for Belgian revelation Jan Vertonghan. He had a great debut season for Tottenham last season.

 

Chelsea are ready to throw their proverbial hat in the ring for Luis Suarez. They are preparing a bid that includes £20M cash plus ex-Liverpool forward Fernando Torres.

 

Arsenal are preparing a bid for PSG midfielder Marco Veratti. The highly sought after Italian has caught the Gunner’s manager’s  eye  and Wenger is ready to spend £20M to bring him to the Emirates.

 

The Daily Star are reporting that Tottenham has agreed to a £13M deal for Fabio Coentrao.

 

Chelsea are preparing a massive Anzhi double swoop. Given Anzhi’s recent change of strategy in their squad development (they’ve transfer listed their whole first team squad,) Chelsea believe they can make off with Willian and Samuel Eto’o on the cheap.

 

Liverpool have agreed to personal terms with full back Aly Cissokho. This move seems to be a goer. All that’s left is for the two clubs to come to terms.

 

Paolo Di Canio is ready to go back to Tottenham and try to complete a transfer for Tom Huddlestone. Sunderland were close to completing the transfer earlier in the seaso, but it fell through.

Tottenham have joined the race for Yohan Cabaye. PSG and Monaco are also interested in the Newcastle midfielder.

 

Aston Villa have been told they must fork out £3M for Nuremberg midfielder Hiroshi Kiyotake.

What to do, Arsene?

It goes without saying that the often frugal Arsenal boardroom have made funds available to their increasingly under-fire manager, Arsene Wenger. Rumors of the £70M “war-chest” have persisted since May. While most managers would jump at the opportunity to spend these enormous sums, the ever stubborn and youth obsessed Gunner manager has bought a single player, Yaya Sanogo, for £400k (technically a free transfer, but Auxerre is due compensation.) With only 23 days left in the transfer window, only one big name target and a small fortune left to spend Wenger is feeling the pressure from both the fans and, more recently, Ivan Gazidis.

Given Arsenal’s torrid experience in the transfer market during the last few years, losing players like RVP, Cesc, Nasri, Song, etc. most fans were looking forward to this summer, one which Arsenal could finally build their squad, rather than ship out key cogs. Much to the chagrin of Gooners everywhere, it seems the desultory manager has not learned lessons from his past procrastination and may, again, be forced into last-second buys after selling off “assets.”

With the impending sales of Gervinho to Roma (£8M), Niklas Bendtner to Malaga, or Frankfurt, or wherever (£2M), and Marouane Chamakh (£unknown,) it is possible that Arsenal’s transfer kitty could balloon to £80M, and while the manager may be hesitant to spend the money, almost any visitor to Ashburton Grove and all international Gooners have their own opinion on who would be the best addition to their beloved Arsenal cadre. Here are some potential transfer coulda/shoulda/woulda/might scenarios:

Plan #1: “Believe the papers”

Luis Suarez (£45M, £150k/week)

Luis Suarez Arsenal shirtWe’ve all read it, or heard it from someone, Arsenal have made a record £40M bid for Luis Suarez. Brendan Rodgers and Ian Ayre have responded by launching a series of aspersions against Arsene Wenger, in an attempt to vilify the wily, old manager. The club are demanding £50M for the Uruguayan flesh-eater (although now, Liverpool are unable to make up their mind about his price) and Arsenal refuse to bid more than £40M. Now that Suarez has started pushing for an exit (he’s readying a formal transfer request), the clubs will be forced to split the difference (£45M for Suarez,) ending a skirmish between childish men.

The striker would fit perfectly into the Arsenal squad, playing in place of Giroud as a proven, clinical, pacey, unpredictable striker or slotting in on either side of the attacking trio, acting as an inside forward rather than an out-and-out winger. His work rate is matched only by the likes of Carlos Tevez, his eye for the goal challenged only by RVP (in the EPL) and he has the vision to split defenses with deft passes. Suarez has an uncanny ability to “create something out of nothing” (or if you’re not a fan of clichés, he’s able to score when no one thinks it’s possible.)

While there is always a concern about Luis Suarez’s ‘animal’ nature on the pitch, whether he’s racially abusing United full-backs or snacking on Chelsea defenders, he’s seldom been in legal issues or off-field scandals. At £45M, Suarez would be worth every shilling and signal an end to the dreary days of stingy Wengernomics.

 

Marouane Fellaini (£23.5M, £120k/week)

The mountainous Belgian had a prolific season for Everton and signing him would be a simple matter for the Gunners. A fee of £23.5M would meet his release clause and the Belgian would add toughness, bite and power to the Gunner midfield. While he is a player, like Suarez, whose decision making can become clouded by red mist (remember his headbutt of Stoke’s Ryan Shawcross,) this mercurial nature harkens back to old Arsenal enforcer, Patrick Vieira.

Maoruane Fellaini Arsenal shirtThe concerns with Marouane Fellaini are few, but severe. This was his first, truly, world-class year and he was thrust into a more attacking position. Playing in the hole behind the striker, the mountain-man was able to use his strength to hold up play and his height to head in goals on set pieces. At Arsenal, the afroed Belgian would play in a more holding position in the midfield, and while his height and strength would be a major benefit to Arsenal, his slow feet could very well impede the flowing, pass-happy style Arsenal is renowned for.

 

Ashley Williams (£10M,  £50k/week)

This rumor has been around since January. The Gunners had initially made an £8M bid, but were put off when Swansea asked for £10M. In truth, ten million pounds seems the right amount for this 28-year-old. He struck up a fantastic partnership with Chico Flores last year and has proven himself an exemplary central defender. He has one of the highest interception rates in the Premiership last season (2.8/game) and his accurate passing (86.5%) out of the backline fits perfectly with Arsenal’s style of play.

On the other hand, being 28-years-old, he would likely only last at Arsenal for a maximum of 5 years, and may experience a physical decline before then. Also, I don’t believe he is a higher quality defender than either Koscielny or Mertesacker (and there is a good chance that he’s not as good as Vermaelen). Williams lacks dominant aerial presence and has a tendency to commit fouls. It’s unlikely he would see much time in an Arsenal shirt unless there are injuries to those ahead of him (but that’s almost guaranteed, knowing Arsenal.)

 

Julio Cesar (£1.5M, £30k/week)

Not much to say about Julio Cesar that you don’t already know. He played well last year for an underachieving QPR squad. Cesar also played well during the Confederations Cup for Brazil and pitched a clean sheet during the final against the always-deadly Spain. Some say he isn’t broad or tall enough to play in the Premiership. The most important thing to remember about this transfer is that it would be a stop-gap solution, designed to either give Szczesny time to develop or to give Wenger more time to find a long term solution to the goal problem.

Plan #1 total cost: £80M, £350k/week

 

Plan #2: “The ‘all gone’ team”

Let’s go back to the beginning of the summer and assume no transfers had gone through. Arsenal were connected to a variety of high caliber targets, optimism was at it’s peak and hope flowed eternal. Now it’s August, and in a strange case of deja vu, Wenger’s indecisive nature and ponderous negotiations proved fatal in the chase for players. How could we have improved the team had we pulled the trigger on some of these players sooner? Specifically, the players we’ve already lost out on. This is the ‘what might have been’ summer signings.

 

Gonzalo Higuain (£34M, £130k/week)

Gonzalo Higuain Arsenal shirtThe ‘Hig’ has pace, is a natural finisher, a good passer and has world-class pedigree, having played for Real Madrid. He has almost everything you want in a lone striker (okay he’s not great in the air) and Napoli supporters should be shouting joyous exclamations, at the top of their lungs, now that he’ll be dressed in powder blue. This was a real miss by Arsene Wenger and given the constant price increases by Liverpool, they may have spurned their best chance at tying up a very good striker this summer.

That being said, I believe at £34M he is not good value for money. £27M seemed to have been Arsenal’s ceiling for this player, as he is not considered truly world class. But the Gunners missed out all the same, and as the new Napoli forward is sure to bang in loads of goals in Naples, Arsenal supporters are sure to be scratching their heads if another forward isn’t brought in before August 31st.

 

Stevan Jovetic (£27M, £110k/week)

Arsenal’s first target this summer was Stevan Jovetic. The Fiorentina forward was seen as the piece to fill the maestro-sized hole left by the Premiership’s contemporary Benedict Arnold, RVP. The two (Jovetic and Van Persie) are very similar in play style. Both are extremely talented with the ball at their feet, accurate passers and can create magic goals. While younger, Jovetic has the same lankily choreographed movements as Van Persie, and is able to use them to a similarly devastating effect.

All of that being said, the Montenegrin would have had to start his career much like Van Persie, predominantly on the left side of the midfield or in the hole playing as a forward rather than a striker. Remember, when Robin first started his career at Highbury he was not used as an out-and-out striker but rather as an advanced midfielder, and I believe Jovetic would have been best utilized in the same manner. Jovetic hasn’t fully developed his finishing ability (and while his 13 goals in 31 appearances is a solid return, it is not the goal tally one would expect from a top-4 premiership striker), and would likely need a few more years of seasoning before becoming the focal point of the Gunners attack. But that doesn’t matter, he is at Manchester City now, and Arsene Wenger can look across the pitch, when visiting the Etihad, and wonder ‘what if?’

 

Etienne Capoue (£9M, £40k/week)

This signing could have been any one of three players. Victor Wanyama, Yann M’Vila and Etienne Capoue have all been linked to Arsenal in the last year. All three players would fill the gaping hole left by Alex Song (okay maybe not “gaping,” Arteta has played very well), but of all three players, I believe Capoue will have the best career in the Premiership and would have been the smartest signing.

Sigmund Freud would say Yann M’Vila has “issues.” This is a large part of the reason that the only team willing to take a chance on the young Frenchman was Rubin Kazan, a team in the notoriously xenophobic Russian League. Why? You ask. Well, it may have to do with his assault of a 17-year-old in May of last year, or maybe it had to do with the 15-year-old prostitute he ‘allegedly’ hired in February of this year. Nonetheless he signed for Rubin in January, so it is unlikely he would have ever been an Arsenal player. Bullet dodged.

Victor Wanyama is too young and rough to step into the Arsenal first team right away. He’s an exciting player and the Saints should be happy they were able to bring him to Southampton but he will commit a lot of fouls and has a good deal of growing to do before he is truly world class.

While Capoue is older and his ceiling may not be as high as Wanyama’s, he is a much more, well-rounded player. He doles out crunching tackles like sweets in a candy shop, he is able to play through balls on the ground and over the top, and most importantly, his football maturity is evident. He has exceptional anticipation, positioning and has a knack for understanding the game from a defensive perspective. While he is still officially a Toulouse player, it seems his transfer to Tottenham is all but certain.  More signings like Capoue and AVB could, very likely, find himself playing in the Champions League next year.

Pepe Reina (Loan, £80k/week)

How did Arsene miss this one? Maybe, Liverpool weren’t willing to loan their old, first-choice keeper to a rival, but Pepe Reina had long been the subject of Wengerian admiration. After Jens left they looked at Pepe. Before and after Almunia left, they looked at Pepe. Now that Reina was finally available, and Arsenal are looking for another keeper to push their young Pole, they miss out on a perfect loan opportunity. Pepe Reina, very likely, could have started between the posts for Arsenal, had he signed. His inclusion in the squad could only have helped the shaky, young, Arsenal keepers develop (Flappy-handski and Sczyzycyznzy….) Rafa was able to steal one of his favorite players, for the year, leaving Arsenal shorthanded, again!

Plan #2 total cost: £70M, £320k/week

 

Plane #3: “What I would do”

Okay, everyone gets to put in their 2 cents, shillings or quid in, so it’s my turn. If I had £80M and ran Arsenal, this is what I would do.

Ilkay Gundogan (£33M, £80k/week)

Gundogan is the most adaptable young midfielder in the world. He’s a true, box-to-box midfielder, equally comfortable initiating attacks as he is breaking up those of opponent’s, and he has a winner’s attitude (Bundesliga winner and Champions League finalist.) Ilkay’s list of attributes is long: amazing vision and creativity, great tackling, good pace, natural finishing, accurate in his long and short passing, an incredibly high work-rate, a strong dribbler in tight spaces, and amazing natural defensive instincts. He plays with English heart, Spanish skill and German efficiency. His one weakness is his aerial ability. It’s not great. A lot of pros and not a lot of cons (oh, and did I mention he’s 22?)Ilkay Gundogan Arsenal Shirt

I would claim that Ilkay could be the heir to Mikel Arteta, but if he were brought into the Arsenal side today, I have no doubt he would quickly replace the Spanish midfielder on the team sheet. At £33M his price may be a little inflated but he has all the talent and desire to be a world-class player and, as evidenced by his miraculous rise in notoriety at BVB and his solid performance in the Wembley Champions League final, he is capable of playing with, and against the best in the world. I feel so strongly about this player, I would sign him before I resigned Cesc Fabregas (Gooner heresy, I know.)

 

Alvaro Morata (£22M, £30k/week)

I know what you’re thinking Arsenal supporters, “another young ‘up-and-coming’ striker, why don’t you just kick me in the crotch?” And after Arsenal’s recent success (or lack thereof) raising young strikers, this reaction is entirely understandable. Wellington Silva, Niklas Bendtner, Carlos Vela, and Joel Campbell all failed to make an impact on the first team. But Morata isn’t an up-and-coming striker, he’s HERE, NOW. Unlike the other striking prospects, who were solid pieces of stone that needed carving and chiseling, Morata is a granite finisher who simply needs some polishing.

His stat line from last season reads: Games Started 6, Goals from GS 2, Assists from GS 1 and Sub Appearances 12, Goals from SA 4, Assists from SA 3 and 1 man of the match performance against Barcelona. His playing style is similar to that of Gonzalo Higuain as he’s not prolific in the air, but capable. He has the pace to continue a counter attack or start a break, but his abilities are on display as a classic “fox-in-the-box.” He’ll finish most balls that come to him whether they’re bundled or smooth, aerial or terrestrial.  He’d be a great complementary striker to Olivier Giroud, offering a different set of skills.

It may be difficult to pry him away from Real Madrid (Carlo Ancelotti is a big admirer) but given his ‘alleged’ inclusion in the Gareth Bale dealings, he could be bought, at the right price.

 

Adil Rami (£10M, £40k/week)

Adil Rami is the younger, better version of Ashley Williams. (Wait, what!? An international player that can do everything better than an overrated English player? And he’s younger? Unheard of.) It’s true, he’s stronger in the air, taller, has pace, seldom dives into tackles and gives up fewer fouls than Williams. His passing ability is comparable to Ashley and Valencia are willing to part with him because of their financial difficulties.

Furthermore, he’s French (a Wenger specialty) and he’s only 27. Rami has been an Arsenal target for the last year and would provide excellent cover for Per Mertesacker (they’re practically the same height.) In fact, there is a good chance that, much like Koscielny beating out Vermaelen, Rami could overtake a player like Mertesacker on the depth chart. He’s that good.

 

Asmir Begovic (£15M, £50k/week)

He’s big, he’s strong, he’s reliable and most importantly, he’s fearless. If Arsene Wenger truly wanted to challenge Wojciech’s position as Arsenal’s number #1, it would be hard to find a better test. Begovic has great shot-stopping ability and an amazing throwing arm. He communicates well with his defenders and controls his area excellently. Having played at Stoke for the last three and a half seasons he’s become accustomed to wading through the towering Stoke defenders to collect balls on set pieces and crosses. At the young age of 26, Asmir has become one of the best keepers in the Premiership and he is ready for the jump to European football.

Stoke acquired the services of young Jack Butland, who is a prodigious English talent, for the explicit purpose of replacing Asmir Begovic if, and when, another team came to buy him. As the summer has worn on, it has become increasingly obvious that teams are less interested in the Bosnian. Arsene Wenger could swoop the shot-stopper and be guaranteed a quality keeper for the next 8-10 years.

Plan #3 total cost: £80M, £200k/week

 

Speculation! This is all speculation, but it’s the only fun we can have during the summer. Without football, we’re left with the prospect of dreaming, hoping that our respective teams improve themselves in the upcoming year. We hope that our young players flourish, our stars hold form and our manager brings in new blood to energize the squad. Transfer rumors are football pornography.

Arsene Wenger has already begun ringing the bells of defeat with the painful utterings, “if you can give me names that are better than who we have, I am ready to talk about it,” or the repetitive mantra “our squad is strong enough, NOW, to compete for the Premiership.” The only way for Arsenal to ‘lose’ this transfer window, is to not act at all. We have 23 days to make a difference, 23 days to strengthen for the marathon of the Premiership season and 23 days to save Arsenal from the downward spiral toward mediocrity it embarked on 8 years ago. Twenty-three days to save Wenger’s legacy, because another season without trophies, another backdoor entrance to the top four, will force supporters to turn against the once beloved, football genius.

It seems we need a striker, a box-to-box midfielder, a central defender and, maybe, a right full-back. It’s unlikely we address all these areas of need, especially with time winding down, but it’s important we address a few, or the fourth place trophy is all we’ll win, again. What would you do with £80M? Who would you buy?

 

Cheers,

 

Dr. Otterpus

Transfer Noise: 8/8/2013

Good Chance

Wait and see

Skeptical

Luis Suarez has told Liverpool officials that he wants to leave Anfield. He is ready to submit a formal transfer request. Suarez believes he was lied to by the Liverpool boardroom and coaching staff about his transfer availability.

Luis Suarez 'let me leave'

Barcelona are still desperate for a center back. They have made a £35M-£40M bid for Chelsea’s David Luiz and are prepared to move for David Agger if they are unsuccessful with the Brazilian.  UPDATE: Chelsea have rejected Barcelona’s bid.

On the off chance that David Luiz leaves Chelsea, Jose Mourinho is readying a £30M bid for young French wonderkid Raphael Varane.

Tottenham have agreed to a £9.5M deal for Etienne Capoue. The Frenchman was close to sealing a move to Cardiff City earlier this summer, but it seems a transfer to White Hart Lane is close to completion. Great buy by Spurs:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R7KIAyUTyXM

Manchester United are preparing an £18M bid for Udinese youngster Luis Muriel to replace the unhappy Wayne Rooney.

Arsene Wenger is preparing a bid for Karim Benzema. The Arsenal manager has long been an admirer of the Frenchman and is willing to part with £39M to bring him to the Emirates.

Tottenham are interested in signing Willian for £20M from Anzhi. While the Russian club bought the Brazilian in the last year, the owner wants to balance his books and selling off Willian would go a long way to achieving that goal.

Everton are interested in Juventus midfielder Luca Marrone.  He will cost the Merseyside club £7M.

West Brom are close to completing a loan move for Scott Sinclair. The ex-Swans man had a bad first season at Manchester City.

Arsenal are ready to spend £20M to sign talented BVB midfielder Ilkay Gundogan. It’s unlikely they’ll get him at that price.

Wigan continue their summer retooling by signing winger James McClean from Sunderland. The cost of the deal is £2M.

Yossi Benayoun is considering moving to the “retirement league,” also known as the MLS.

Arsenal have lodged another bid for Luis Suarez after his interview discussing his desire to leave. The bid for the Uruguayan is now £47.5M.

Everton are being challenged by Fiorentina for Hellas Verona midfielder Jorginho.

Arsenal are considering giving a trial to Angers midfielder Alharbi El Jadyaoui.

Cardiff City are considering moving for Morelia’s Ecuadorian Jefferson Montero. The winger is valued at £3M.

Manchester United are preparing a massive double bid for Everton’s Marouane Fellaini and Leighton Baines.

Transfer Noise: 8/6/2013

Good chance

Wait and see

Skeptical

I throw my hands up!! We called the Gareth Bale to Madrid move too early. It turns out the move isn’t official. Sorry for jumping the gun.

Newcastle have signed former Marseille striker Loic Remy from QPR on loan. The  Frenchman will relish the opportunity to ply his trade in the Premier League again. Way to go Magpies:

Newcastle have also made a £5M offer to Liverpool for Stewart Downing. The Englishman has had an especially bad time at Anfield, failing to record a single Premier League goal or assist in his first year at the club (and only 3 goals total). Red supporters would love to be rid of the Daglish bought flop.

Back to Gareth Bale, Tottenham insist that the only way they’ll sell Bale is if Alvaro Morata comes to White Hart Lane.

Papers are reporting that Arsenal have agreed to a £6.1M deal with Freiburg for 19-year-old German defender Matthias Ginter. Unfortunately for the Gunners, Freiburg have denied all reports.

QPR will make a bid for Liverpool winger Oussama Assaidi. The Rangers only want the youngster on loan.

More Gareth Bale fun, Tottenham are planning to fine the dynamo if he fails to show up to anymore training sessions. This is starting to get a little spikey.

Crystal Palace are said to be at the front of the queue for Aston Villa’s Darren Bent. Newcastle and Fulham have also been closely monitoring the English striker.

Arsenal have renewed their interest in Manchester United winger Nani. The disgruntled Portugal man will cost a mere £9M.

Cristiano Ronaldo will not be moving anywhere this summer and is preparing to sign a new 5-year contract at Madrid. I guess Ronaldo won’t be “sad” at the beginning of this season.

Liverpool are prepared to spend a combined £13M on Sporting Lisbon winger Diego Capel and Valencia’s Aly Cissokho

Adel Tarrabt is moving to Fulham on a loan move. Congratulations Martin Jol for getting an old player back (Taarabt and Jol worked together at Tottenham):

Arsenal are attempting to acquire the services of Omar Abdulrahman on trial. He is considered the brightest talent to come out of Asian in decades and was training at Manchester City last year before a permanent deal collapsed. Arsenal will try and accomplish where City failed and sign the 21-year-old. Check out what the hype is all about:

Both Arsenal and Liverpool are hot on the trail of MK Dons, 17-year-old midfielder Dele Alli.

Manchester United are preparing for a life without Wayne Rooney and have target Porto’s Jackson Martinez as his possible £33M replacement.

Both West Brom and QPR are pursuing English and Tottenham striker Jermaine Defoe.

In case you haven’t heard, Clint Dempsey is going to the MLS. The fee (paid largely by the MLS) is about £6M. He will be playing in Seattle for the Sounders next seasons. Congratulations fans of the MLS:

A Romanian news source is claiming that 27-year-old striker Ciprian Marica has been contacted by Arsenal. I’m gonna say, I’ll believe it when I see it.

Transfer Noise: 8/4/2013

Good Chance

Wait and see

Skeptical

Arsenal are closing in on a £26M move for young Roma frontman Erik Lamela. The 21-year-old capture could be an admission of defeat in their chase for Luis Suarez.

So that rumor about Dempsey to Seattle…. Looks like that has more legs than we initially thought. Apparently Tottenham have agreed to a fee for the American, and Everton are also in the hunt. Dempsey is said to favor a move state-side (see what I did there?). It would be quite a coupe by the MLS if they were able to bring home the Unites States’ best player.

However Seattle Sounder coach Sigi Schmid has denied the club have made a move for the American.

Trabzonspor has continued their interest in the previously, unsettled Papiss Cisse. The striker arrived in the Toon 18 months ago for £9M. It’ll likely take at least twice that sum to take him from Newcastle.

PSV’s Ola Toivonen is considering a move to Norwich City.

Chelsea have signed mammoth striker Striper Perica from NK Zadar. The Croatian 18-year-old stands a remarkable 6’3” and was being chased by Manchester City and Everton before deciding his future lied at Stamford Bridge.

Roma will complete an £8M move for Arsenal’s Gervinho in the next 48 hours. Buh-bye, buh-bye now.

Gareth Bale looks set to move to Real Madrid. We’re hearing figures from £83M to £105M (the Daily Mirror says £105, the Daily Mail says £87M and Caughoffside.com says £83M) so it’s unknown exactly what the deal looks like but a congratulations to Madrid fans is in order. Congratulations Real Madrid, you’ve given the finger to FFP, paid an outrageously inflated price for a player that won’t add that much to your side, and have proved, again, that Monaco, PSG, Chelsea and Manchester City can’t compete with the gaggle of buffoons that run your club and spend recklessly. Bravo!

Newcastle look close to completing their first two moves of the summer by spending £9M on Bafetimbi  Gomis and £15M-£20M on James McCarthy.

Gareth Barry is considering his future at the Etihad and is intereste in joining the Benitez revolution in Naples. Napoli is building a formidable squad from the revenues provided by the sale of Edinson Cavani.

Arsenal are still considering a move for Ashley Williams. Last we heard, the price tage hasn’t changed, it will take £10M to prize the defender away from Swansea.

Stoke are interested in acquiring their second American in as many years. They are currently in talks with Juan Agudelo.

Uruguayan Diego Lugano will sign for West Bromwich Albion. The defender will be moving from PSG where his contract expires. Big ‘ups’ to the Baggies.

Liverpool’s £22M move for Atletico Madrid’s Diego Costa seems to be a goer.

Daniel Agger is still seen as Barcelona’s answer to their defensive woes. They’re yet to lodge a bid.

Chelsea continue their pursuit of the freshly-follicled Rooney. A bid of £40M is being prepared to test Manchester United’s resolve.

 

 

Transfer Noise: 8/2/2013

Good chance

Wait and see

Skeptical

Real Madrid are extremely close to completing a £105M deal for Gareth Bale. Yeah, that’s a world record. The only sticking point is Liverpool want Alvaro Morata while Carlo Ancelotti believes the young striker has a bright future at the Bernabeu.

And with the Gareth Bale deal nearly done, Manchester United are preparing an £80M to bring Cristiano Ronaldo back to England.

And from totally out of left field, Arsenal are preparing a £16M bid for Christian Ericksen. Maybe they’re trying to use a bit of leverage to speed up the Luis Suarez deal?

Chelsea are preparing a £25M bid for Raphael Varane. The defensive sensation is wanted by his old manager Jose Mourinho.

Everton are ready to make a move for Manchester United midfielder Anderson. The Brazilian has had a pretty bad time at Old Trafford and a change of scenery could improve his career.

Liverpool have made a £21.5M bid for Atletico Madrid forward Diego Costa. Perhaps this indicates they’re ready to let Luis Suarez go.

Stoke are set to launch a £5M bid for Hamburg’s striker Artjoms Rudnevs.

Manchester United will make one last bid for Cesc Fabregas. It is extremely unlikely that they’re successful.

Fulham are closing in on Aston Villa’s Darren Bent and Sunderland’s Lee Cattermole.

Tottenham have finally completed a deal to buy Roberto Soldado (pending a medical.) Congratulations Spurs supporters:

From the “Outrageous” section, Clint Dempsey was seen transferring planes to Seattle in San Francisco and there are now rumors that he’s going to transfer to Seattle Sounders. 

Newcastle have had a bid accepted for Lyon’s Bafetimbi Gomis. The fee is in the £7M to £10M range. Pardew continues his French raid. 

Transfer Noise: 7/31/2013

Good chance

Wait and see

Skeptical

Tottenham are prepared to let Gareth Bale go… for £85M and a Real Madrid player (maybe Luca Modric returns to White Heart lane.)

Chelsea are reportedly interested in Arsenal target, Luis Suarez. While his £50M price tag might put off the London club, Roman Abramovich would certainly have no problem matching that sum. (That being said, after having called Wayne Rooney their “only target” this summer, we think it’s unlikely that Chelsea flirt with Suarez.)

David Moyes is desperate to make an impactful signing this summer and has targeted Matt Hummels are a £25M statement buy. It would surely shore up their defense.

After some impressive performances during Manchester United’s Asia tour, Juventus are prepared to move on Adnan Januzaj. Unfortunately for Juve, Adnan has come out saying that he’d like to stay at Old Trafford.

Valencia are preparing to replace Roberto Soldado with Olivier Giroud. The ex-Montpellier player had an up and down first season at the Emirates.

West ham have made a £2.65M bid for Lille midfielder Solomon Kalou.

Manchester United are preparing a bid for Marouane Fellaini. David Moyes wants to reunite with his old bruiser and is willing to part with £22M to make that happen.

David Luiz will not be leaving Chelsea. He’s said so and Chelsea have said so.

Cardiff City have targeted Tottenham defender Steven Caulker in an effort to improve the squad to Premier League quality.

Rafa Bentiez wants to bring Martin Skrtel to Napoli as he continues his raid on Liverpool. It looks like it will only be a loan move.

If Gareth Bale ends up moving to Real Madrid, then there is a possibility that Tottenham could use the funds to buy Luis Suarez.

Liverpool’s pursuit of Rubin Kazan’s Salomon Rondon took hit after it was discovered that Borussia Dortmund was seriously interested in the 23-year-old as well.

Everton’s manager Roberto Martinez hopes to continue his raid of his former club by preparing a £15M bid for James McCarthy.

Liverpool has released a banned words list. It’s sorta funny, and sorta sad. Check it out:

Liverpool Banned Words List

Liverpool are trying to sign Benfica’s Lorenzo Malgarejo on a season long loan.

Mexican Hector Moreno is a £6.7M target for Cardiff. The Espanyol  defender has also been targeted by Swansea.

Transfer Noise: 7/28/2013

Good chance

Wait and see

Skeptical

Jose Mourinho is close to completing a £15M move for Real Madrid midfielder Sami Khedira

Liverpool are interested in completing a move for Brazilian Bernard. Arsenal were reportedly close to a £22M deal for the diminutive playmaker.

 Manchester United manager David Moyes is determined to make a splash signing and ready to make a £80M bid for Cristiano Ronaldo.

Manchester City are still in pursuit of 30-year-old Real Madrid defender Pepe.

Barcelona have made a £25M bid for Chelsea’s David Luiz. It’s unlikely the Chelsea defender will be moving away from Stamford Bridge.

There are online reports that Arsenal are interested in making a £25M bid for Barcelona’s Cesc Fabregas.

Tottenham have rejected a £81M bid for Gareth Bale from Real Madrid. Expect a world record-breaking amount of money as the next bid.

Manchester United have admitted that they may lose Wayne Rooney this summer. But they have said they will not sell to any of United’s rivals, meaning if he leaves, it will be for a club abroad.

Santi Cazorla WILL NOT be moving back to Spain this summer.

Arsene Wenger has said he believes that Arsenal can challenge for the title without Luis Suarez. That’s a familiar sound to Gooners.

Not really transfer news but hilarious none-the-less. Newcastle forward Nile Ranger has tattooed his name on his face. Check it:

Untitled

Multiple news sources have reported that Tottenham have agreed to a transfer fee of £26M with Valencia for striker Roberto Soldado. This would provide Spurs with a much needed, high quality, finisher up top.

Survivors of Last Season: 2012/2013 Newcastle and Aston Villa

Summertime for the Premier league fan is a bit ridiculous. The transfer rumors, the signing fees, the debates over how many millions a player demands, and when we actually get some honest to good football it is usually a lopsided affair. Instead of going for the usual end of summer ritual let’s take a look back at last season, which had a droll title race to be honest, but had, for the neutrals at least, an amusing relegation battle.

This is not an article designed to beat the dead horse QPR any more than has already been done on the internet. Instead I want to take a look at the two clubs who unexpectedly dropped into the relegation zone last season and emerged into the summer as shell shocked survivors. I am, of course, speaking about Newcastle and Aston Villa.

Both teams topped the premier league statistics last season with the number of injuries and not much else. Newcastle had the most players injured for the longest amount of time this season, followed by Aston Villa. Third place goes to Arsenal, but to be fair, they had a month long epidemic, in the locker room, where eight players were struck with illness. In fact, Arsenal lead the season in illness with 16 individual cases, preventing players from making it onto the pitch (I wonder what Arsene has been putting in the water? But I digress.)

First, let’s examine last season with all the injuries, tactical adjustments and mid-season signings; second, we will turn our gaze towards next season and speculate as to how these clubs can improve and avoid late season drama (or continue such drama, as it was the best entertainment in that final week of play).

 

Newcastle, specifically Alan Pardew, could not change.

The sharp start to Newcastle’s season (a win over Tottenham) rolled into mediocrity and, nearly, tumbled head-over-heels into fiasco. The mid-season signing of Moussa Sissoko brought promise and energy back into a tired mid-year squad late in January, but eventually his high level of athleticism and work rate could not change the paradigm at Newcastle. Pardew still insisted on direct football and could not adapt to get the best out his players.

Given their number of injuries, one would suspect that Newcastle’s squad would have seen a great deal of change in tactical shape. Players either step up to play in unfamiliar positions or Pardew would adjust to match the skills of his fit players.

Instead, Pardew stuck with two formations for 75% of the season, a 4-4-2 and 4-2-3-1. The latter formation is a reaction to Demba Ba’s departure for Chelsea, Pardew’s sole major tactical shift of the season. There are two critical points in this season that I would like to point out.

The chart below details Newcastle’s season, the Toon’s best run of 5 games came towards the second half of the season (arguably when the downward spiral had become a tailspin) but also features the first two games of Moussa Sissoko who scored a goal against Aston Villa and a brace against Chelsea, securing six points in two games. The impact of this player cannot be overstated, Sissoko was unable to maintain such consistent goal scoring after those first two games but without the French midfielder Newcastle may very well have fallen.

The second period comes earlier in the season, Newcastle’s five worst games spanned the month of November. This month not only saw the club drop twelve points out of fifteen but also included the most incidents of injury during the season. There were thirteen injuries in November alone with repeat injuries to both strikers, Ba and Cisse, and ten separate players either missed games or needed to subbed early in a match.

The injuries of last season were, undoubtedly, a bit of bad luck for Pardew and Newcastle, but injuries are never an excuse for poor form in the Premiership. The team had enough depth and talent to finish much higher than 16th and Pardew opened the pocket book during the January transfer window, spending a total of £17 million on Mathieu Debuchy, Yoan Gouffran, Mapou Yanga-Mbiwa and Moussa Sissoko.

 

Villa: A Necessary Trial by Fire?

Villa’s season is unique from Newcastle’s because the young squad that Paul Lambert often fielded was not necessarily forced. Even with the second highest number of weeks missed through injury, the Aston Villa squad had veteran players who rarely got a start.

 

Even before the injuries piled up Aston Villa was absent healthy, seasoned talent, notably Shay Given (2 appearances) and Darren Bent (16 appearances). Bent, who has been linked with Fulham and Newcastle, could have made a difference up top for Villa. Goals were at a premium for Villa, but the 24 million signing was spurned for the younger, more exciting, Christian Benteke.

 

Paul Lambert took the chance with younger, and cheaper, players in the 2012/2013 season. The squad, at times, played dismal football, particularly in defense, but they got the job done and the gaffer can look forward to a fresh season with proven talent. The American keeper, Brad Guzan, had a storming season and his heroics kept a weak Villa defense from conceding more than their already high 1.8 goals per game. )

 

If the complaint against Pardew was inflexibility then Lambert’s lineups must be scrutinized for their experimental inconsistency. The chart below shows the formations and their associated results; this may reveal a method to Lambert’s formation madness. Consistent lineups are not found here, but the most consistent period, at the beginning of the season, very nearly holds Villa’s worst run of five games with only three points of a possible fifteen.

 

Lambert took a chance on younger talent and gave them crucial game time to develop (only three players in the Villa squad with over 20 starts were over the age of 24.) This can hardly be described as a juvenile squad but for a club that looked shaky from the start of the season it was a ballsy move by Lambert to tinker throughout the season as the club hemorrhaged points.

The concerning trait that cuts through both season charts of Newcastle and Aston Villa is the lack of winning form. Both teams could barely string together two wins, Newcastle managed this only one time during the season and Villa put together a brace of wins twice at the end. Defensively, both clubs were suspect with only five clean sheets in the season each and both were prone to utter capitulation with high scoring losses to the likes of Manchester City, Chelsea, Arsenal, and Liverpool.

 

The new season is a chance at redemption for both clubs (actually Villa did better this year at 15th place with 41 points than their 2011/2012 16th place 38 point finish under Alex McLeish). Newcastle may not reach the fifth place finish from 2011/2012 but the club has fired a shot across Pardew’s bow with the appointment of Joe Kinnear as Director of Football. He may be the most influential signing of the summer. Villa’s Paul Lambert has to steady the ship and, perhaps, get involved in some business, shipping off the older and expensive players still on the books. Darren Bent is attracting attention and would be a welcome offload, though it is still important to note that Villa are staring down a £18-19 million loss on the 28 year old striker.

 

August 17th is just around the corner, 25 days! 25 days!, but let us not forget the past and the mid table teams who made last year exciting with their near death relegation experience.

 

*Sigh* football.